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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
MERTHYR TOWN vs. SWINDON SUPERMARINE
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Merthyr Town's and Swindon Supermarine's ELO scores.
| Merthyr Town | Swindon Supermarine | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2954.1 | 2917.9 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3670 Saturday, September 3, 1921 |
3067.5 Saturday, April 22, 2023 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2756.2 Saturday, February 19, 2022 |
2808.3 Tuesday, November 17, 2009 |
A summary of all historical matches between Merthyr Town and Swindon Supermarine.
| Venue | Played | Merthyr Town wins |
Draws | Swindon Supermarine wins |
Merthyr Town goals |
Swindon Supermarine goals |
Merthyr Town SR% |
Swindon Supermarine SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| HOME | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 68.8% | 31.3% |
| AWAY | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 DEC 2023 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2967) |
4 - 1 | Swindon Supermarine (2950) |
14.8 |
| 28 AUG 2023 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2982) |
0 - 3 | Merthyr Town (2972) |
19.8 |
| 2 JAN 2023 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2864) |
2 - 1 | Swindon Supermarine (2973) |
12 |
| 29 AUG 2022 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2993) |
2 - 1 | Merthyr Town (2800) |
4.2 |
| 18 APR 2022 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2811) |
1 - 3 | Swindon Supermarine (2956) |
10.5 |
| 8 FEB 2022 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2943) |
2 - 0 | Merthyr Town (2776) |
7 |
| 1 JAN 2020 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (3016) |
2 - 2 | Merthyr Town (2899) |
4.2 |
| 26 AUG 2019 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2876) |
3 - 1 | Swindon Supermarine (2969) |
17.3 |
| 29 DEC 2018 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2939) |
3 - 0 | Merthyr Town (2957) |
16.3 |
| 14 AUG 2018 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2945) |
2 - 2 | Swindon Supermarine (2914) |
2 |
| 24 APR 2010 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2846) |
1 - 1 | Merthyr Tydfil (2865) |
0.7 |
| 12 DEC 2009 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2954) |
1 - 0 | Swindon Supermarine (2837) |
5.6 |
| 17 JAN 2009 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2956) |
0 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (2981) |
0.6 |
| 2 SEP 2008 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2909) |
1 - 2 | Swindon Supermarine (2902) |
11.5 |
| 12 APR 2008 | CONF | Swindon Supermarine (2896) |
0 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (2898) |
1.4 |
| 3 NOV 2007 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2876) |
3 - 1 | Swindon Supermarine (2892) |
13.6 |